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SP's Military Yearbook 2021-2022
SP's Military Yearbook 2021-2022
       

Somber Mood in Kiev

The contours of Russia-Ukraine war's expected closure have sent shockwaves through European capitals and Kiev is in mourning. President Zelensky's worst fears have come true. Playing puppet came with a price, at times at great cost to a country and its people.

February 15, 2025 By Major General Atanu K Pattanaik (Retd) Photo(s): By en.kremlin.ru, president.gov.ua, Navy Petty Officer 1st Class Alexander C. Kubitza, MSC/Michaela Stache
The Author is former Chief of Staff of a frontline Corps in the North East and a former helicopter pilot. He earlier headed the China & neighbourhood desk at the Defence Intelligence Agency. He retired in July 2020 and held the appointment of Addl DG Information Systems at Army HQ.

 

Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskyy Had a Phone Conversation with US President Donald Trump

In a few days, the war in Ukraine will complete three years. There are signs that there may be closure to this senseless war soon.

Shockwaves in Europe and Kiev's Dilemma

Just prior to President Trump disclosing to the world about his telephonic talks with President Putin, US Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth told a gathering at NATO headquarters in Brussels that a return to Ukraine's pre-2014 borders is "an unrealistic objective" and an "illusionary goal", expected Europe to bear more financial and military responsibility for Ukraine's security and ruled out any US boots on the ground. A future membership of NATO for Ukraine was also ruled out. Days later, the US Vice-President J.D. Vance in his address at the Munich Security Conference showed the mirror to the European leadership, stating that threat to European security came not from Russia or China but from within, flagging issues of unchecked migration and non-acceptance of people's mandate in elections as the real challenges.

US Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth told a gathering at NATO headquarters in Brussels that a return to Ukraine's pre-2014 borders is "an unrealistic objective" and an "illusionary goal"

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth delivers opening remarks during the 26th iteration of the Ukraine Defense Contact Group at NATO Headquarters in Brussels, Feb. 12, 2025.

The contours of the closure have sent shockwaves through European capitals and Kiev is expectedly in mourning. President Zelensky's worst fears have come true. Playing puppet to the deep state comes with a price, at times at great cost to a country and its people. President Zelensky was the last puppet in a game started way back in February 2014 when the pro-Russian President Yanukovych was overthrown in an US sponsored putsch. There are leaked tapes of the then US Assistant Secretary of State Victoria Nuland and the US Ambassador to Ukraine, Geoffrey Pyatt discussing probable cabinet picks even before the Yanukovych government was thrown out. The democracy vs dictatorship narrative has been a hoax all along. The shenanigans of the deep state and its hidden arms like the USAID are slowly being revealed as the DOGE team led by Elon Musk access lists of payment beneficiaries.

European leaders are crying foul as is Zelensky, fearful that they are left out of key negotiations on the future of Ukraine. They shouldn't crib much. After all, on June 15-16, 2024, they held an 'Ukrainian Peace Summit' attended among others by then US Vice President Kamala Harris, President Zelensky and the leaders of the UK, Canada, France, Germany, Italy and Japan. Russia had been kept out.

The US Military Industrial Complex and the Economics of Wars

The US Military Industrial Complex (MIC) has been the prime mover, as part of the deep state, to 'activate' the Ukraine front playing on long-gone 'cold war' fears. The collapse of Soviet Union in 1991 and the dissolution of rival Warsaw Pact were inconvenient to the MIC as peace is anathema to a cabal that feeds on wars for profit. A large segment of the US congressmen and senators, who set the political agenda in the capitol, played along as payback for hefty campaign finance they receive from the MIC. Think-tanks, NGOs and journalists in Washington as well as across world capitals were co-opted through funding by CIA arms like the USAID completing the ecosystem.

The US Military Industrial Complex (MIC) has been the prime mover, as part of the deep state, to 'activate' the Ukraine front, playing on long-gone 'cold war' fears

US Vice-President J.D. Vance in his address at the Munich Security Conference

The purported agenda of furthering US interests by these government organs like the CIA, USAID and other intelligence agencies is highly debatable. The US recovered from the 'Great Depression' of the 1930s in large measure due to the huge arms industry that proliferated during WW II as America remained unscathed from the war while most of Europe was bombed out. Having tasted success (profit), warmongering became a prime sport in the Washington corridors of power. Some examples are necessary. The US joined the Indo-China war to fill in for a retreating colonial France, only to withdraw under humiliating circumstance from Vietnam in 1975, leaving behind an estimated $15 billion worth of military equipment, including tanks, armoured vehicles, artillery pieces, helicopters, planes, and small arms. The same feat was again repeated in August 2021 when the US left behind $83 billion worth of weapons in Afghanistan, including 208 aircraft, 2,000 armoured vehicles, 6,00,000 small arms, 32,000 grenades, mortars, rockets and bombs and 30 million rounds of ammunition.

The expansion of NATO after the dissolution of the Warsaw Pact has been a project to keep pumping more and more arms, armament, and munitions as 'mandatory NATO-grade' wherewithal into new member countries joining the alliance.

So, while the US as a nation lost billions and billions in these wars, the MIC and its accomplices like many politicos and bigwigs in the intelligence agencies profiteered. The expansion of the NATO after dissolution of Warsaw Pact has been a project to keep pumping more and more arms, armament and munitions as 'mandatory NATO-grade' wherewithal into new member countries joining the alliance. MIC funded think-tanks and journalists churned out suitable narratives for the US Congress and Presidents to authorise military aid to diverse countries and rebel groups including the Taliban. US tax-payer dollars were used to pay for arms manufactured by the MIC which were ostensibly going as aid to target countries or belligerent groups.

Led by President Trump, a negotiated settlement of the Ukraine war is on the horizon

The Deep State's Strategy

The US today has a mind-boggling sovereign debt exceeding $37 trillion. A thousand billion makes a trillion. One US billion is roughly ₹8,700 crores. Someone can do the maths. How does the US government and its agencies hand out $60 billion foreign aid each year when it cannot balance its own budget?

With the purge of the deep state being initiated by President Trump, a negotiated settlement of the Ukraine war is on the horizon while the fluid situation in Georgia should hopefully stabilise.

The toxicity of an weaponised US dollar as the global reserve currency must be understood in this context. Since 1974 when the US government went nearly bankrupt due to the heavy expenditure in Vietnam war, every US government has gone ballistic if the reserve currency status of petrodollar was threatened. Even if it meant bombing entire countries to rubble, like its campaigns in Iraq (2003) and Libya (2011) when their rulers, Saddam and Gaddafi respectively, declared to ditch the United States $ for other currencies for oil trade. The US simply prints money and imports goods and services to sustain its fabled 'American Way of Life'. It has been fleecing the rest of the world of its hard earned savings.

Ukraine was primed as a potential playground back in 2008 when at the Bucharest Summit, NATO allies welcomed Ukraine's and Georgia's Euro-Atlantic aspirations for NATO membership. Ukraine was activated by the deep state in 2014 and got played in February 2022. Georgia witnessed the mess in Ukraine and its people voted wisely last year. The deep state has made efforts to ferment trouble during a power hand-over to pro-Russian party Georgian Dream nominated Mikhail Kavelashvili as the new President in November 2024. With purge of the deep state being initiated by President Trump, a negotiated settlement of the Ukraine war is in the horizon while the fluid situation in Georgia should hopefully stabilise.